Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000112 0.000124 0.000137 0.000152 0.000169 0.000187 0.000208
2025-11-16 0.000093 0.000109 0.000127 0.000150 0.000176 0.000207 0.000245
2025-11-23 0.000079 0.000098 0.000120 0.000149 0.000184 0.000227 0.000284
2025-11-30 0.000070 0.000090 0.000115 0.000149 0.000193 0.000249 0.000325
2025-12-07 0.000061 0.000082 0.000109 0.000147 0.000199 0.000267 0.000364
2025-12-14 0.000056 0.000078 0.000107 0.000149 0.000209 0.000291 0.000414
2025-12-21 0.000051 0.000073 0.000104 0.000150 0.000217 0.000313 0.000462
2025-12-28 0.000047 0.000069 0.000100 0.000149 0.000223 0.000331 0.000505
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000066 0.000099 0.000151 0.000233 0.000357 0.000562
2026-01-11 0.000040 0.000063 0.000096 0.000151 0.000240 0.000378 0.000614
2026-01-18 0.000037 0.000060 0.000094 0.000151 0.000246 0.000398 0.000664
2026-01-25 0.000035 0.000056 0.000091 0.000150 0.000250 0.000414 0.000711
2026-02-01 0.000032 0.000054 0.000089 0.000150 0.000256 0.000436 0.000770
2026-02-08 0.000030 0.000051 0.000086 0.000148 0.000260 0.000453 0.000822
2026-02-15 0.000028 0.000049 0.000083 0.000148 0.000265 0.000474 0.000882
2026-02-22 0.000026 0.000047 0.000082 0.000148 0.000272 0.000497 0.000950
2026-03-01 0.000025 0.000044 0.000079 0.000146 0.000275 0.000515 0.001008
2026-03-08 0.000023 0.000043 0.000079 0.000149 0.000285 0.000546 0.001097
2026-03-15 0.000022 0.000042 0.000078 0.000149 0.000293 0.000573 0.001177
2026-03-22 0.000021 0.000040 0.000076 0.000148 0.000297 0.000593 0.001246
2026-03-29 0.000020 0.000039 0.000075 0.000151 0.000307 0.000626 0.001348
2026-04-05 0.000019 0.000038 0.000074 0.000151 0.000314 0.000653 0.001437
2026-04-12 0.000018 0.000037 0.000073 0.000151 0.000319 0.000677 0.001521